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2024-12-14 09:07:26

Guosheng Securities: AEC heavy-duty computing industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng. Guosheng Securities Research Report pointed out that AEC(Active Electrical Cable) is an active cable interconnection scheme, which is mainly used in short-distance high-speed data transmission scenarios in data centers. 1)AEC is expected to become the first step for optical module manufacturers to penetrate downwards. Optical modules need to master photoelectric conversion and high-speed data communication, and DAC/AEC/AOC products have relatively mature technical requirements compared with single-mode/multimode optical module products with longer transmission distance. 2) Copper interconnection is widely used by large CSP not only in NVIDIA. NVIDIA used a large number of high-density copper interconnects in B series products, which made the industry re-recognize the reliability and price advantage of copper interconnects in short-distance scenes. 3) In the era of Lian Heng, domestic manufacturers still have obvious advantages. Chip manufacturers, represented by NVIDIA, have been hoping to conduct a comprehensive industry consolidation and provide customers with a complete set of solutions. What CSP manufacturers want more is the decoupling of the industrial chain, and every link such as GPU, copper connection, optical module and switch can find corresponding suppliers. The heavy volume of AEC and the rise of CSP manufacturer's independent scheme indicate that the computing power industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng, and we are firmly optimistic about the domestic related computing power industry chain.The Philippine side's provocation and China's counter-measures will be one step stronger. The Philippine Coast Guard said that China has recently launched "aggressive actions" against Philippine fishing boats heading for the reef. Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said today that the Philippine side likes to take a boat full of journalists wherever it goes, whether it is sailing or shipping, but the key is not to see who has more journalists, but to see who is more reasonable and legal. China Nansha Islands and Huangyan Island have never been included in the territory of the Philippines, which is determined by a series of international treaties. The Philippines is well aware of this. China's attitude is clear and definite: one point for provocation and one step for counter-attack; If you are stubborn, you will be with me to the end.Ministry of National Defense: Sun Tzu's Art of War belongs to both China and the world. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: It is reported that the 10th International Symposium on the Art of War was held in Beijing, which aroused widespread concern at home and abroad. Please tell us more about the situation. Wu Qian: On December 5-6, the 10th International Symposium on Sun Tzu's Art of War was held in Beijing. More than 350 Chinese and foreign experts and scholars from nearly 30 countries conducted in-depth discussions on the theme of "Sun Tzu's Art of War and Mutual Learning of Civilizations" and achieved positive results. Sun Tzu's Art of War is not only China's, but also the world's. It not only shows the mystery of the Art of War, but also embodies the dialectical thought. The ideas contained in it, such as "stopping fighting for military power", helping each other in the same boat, knowing ourselves and preparing for victory, have already surpassed the scope of the country and become the common wealth of human civilization. Since ancient times, knowing soldiers is not bellicose. Studying Sun Tzu's art of war is not to follow the ancient times, but to learn from the present. Today's world should not be an arena where you lose and I win, but a garden where civilizations learn from each other. We are willing to take Sun Tzu's art of war as a bridge, study and discuss the way of peaceful development that transcends barriers through communication, conflicts through mutual learning and superiority through equality, actively practice the concept of community of human destiny, and contribute to the great integration and development of human civilization.


Domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, Shanghai Bank and BR rubber fell nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal, hot coil, international copper and pulp fell more than 1%. In terms of increase, Shanghai nickel and alumina rose by over 1%, while SC crude oil and palm oil rose by nearly 1%.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.Maotai Group had an exchange discussion with Huawei. Kweichow Moutai official news on December 13th. On December 12th, Zhang Pingan, managing director of Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and CEO of Huawei Cloud, visited Maotai and held an exchange discussion with Zhang Deqin, Party Secretary and Chairman of Maotai Group.


Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.

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